I don't do many outright bets but it's often fun going into a Grand Slam with some money on an outsider who could do well. The Australian Open often has surprise finalists (Baghdatis, González, Tsonga) so I put €10 @480 on this year's surprise package: Ernests Gulbis, who took a set off Federer today.
Now watch him go out against a qualifier in the first round.